What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 13%, implying a 13% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Nate Blouin

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 324 Open interest 5.4K Event UT-01 Democratic nominee?

13%

implied YES probability

+2.6pp 24h

Last 42 days · High 50% · Low 9% · 7d -47.8pp · 30d -47.8pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.