What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 44%, implying a 44% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 17, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Kareem Allam

Closes Oct 17, 2027 (487d) 24h volume 813 Open interest 937 Event Who will win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

44%

implied YES probability

-8.0pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 53% · Low 24% · 7d +52.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.