kalshi
Sports
Will France win the 1st Half?
France wins 1st Half
42%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 4 days ·
High 46% ·
Low 45%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for France to win the first half against Morocco indicates a 44% probability of this outcome, with the current price set at 0.45. This assessment is informed by known facts such as France's strong performance in recent matches and their possession-based style of play, which could lead to an early advantage. The market is currently pricing in a relatively even contest, with Morocco's counter-attacking capabilities not yet fully factored into the price. A significant change in the current price would likely require new information about the teams' lineups or injuries, as well as any adjustments made during halftime that could impact the second half of the match.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0¢ | 27049 | 43.0¢ | 458847 | |
| 41.0¢ | 49342 | 44.0¢ | 351830 | |
| 40.0¢ | 93707 | 45.0¢ | 255146 | |
| 39.0¢ | 17142 | 46.0¢ | 27823 | |
| 38.0¢ | 12177 | 47.0¢ | 27911 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 42.5¢
Trade on Kalshi
Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.