What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 24, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Spain wins 1st Half

Closes Jul 24, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 13.2K Open interest 13.7K Event Spain vs Belgium: First Half Winner

42%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 45% · Low 43%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.