What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 11%, implying a 11% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 18, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Spain

Closes Jul 18, 2028 (761d) 24h volume 2.4K Open interest 22.3K Event World Cup: Third-Place Finisher

11%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 11 days · High 26% · Low 11% · 7d -33.3pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.