What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Anthropic / Claude

Closes Jul 19, 2027 (374d) 24h volume 529 Open interest 2.9K Event Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final

16%

implied YES probability

-6.0pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 65% · Low 20% · 7d -68.8pp

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.