What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 19, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Tesla

Closes Jul 19, 2027 (374d) 24h volume 1.1K Open interest 13.9K Event Which brands will advertise during the World Soccer Cup Final

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 23% · Low 6% · 7d -50.0pp

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.