What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 34%, implying a 34% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Mexico

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 2.7K Open interest 45.5K Event Furthest Advancing Host Nation

34%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 16 days · High 57% · Low 38% · 7d +5.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.