What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 47%, implying a 47% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Argentina

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 2.2K Open interest 32.1K Event Furthest Advancing South American Nation

47%

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 60% · Low 34% · 7d +66.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.