What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Tie

Closes Jul 03, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 20.5K Open interest 59.2K Event USA vs Australia

22%

implied YES probability

Last 4 days · High 22% · Low 21%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.