What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

France

Closes Jul 06, 2026 (19d) 24h volume 8.7K Open interest 30.9K Event France vs Iraq

88%

implied YES probability

Last 15 days · High 89% · Low 85% · 7d +1.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.