What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 09, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Tie

Closes Jul 09, 2026 (22d) 24h volume 3.0K Open interest 12.6K Event Ecuador vs Germany

24%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 25% · Low 23% · 7d -4.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.