What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

France

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (23d) 24h volume 14.2K Open interest 70.0K Event Norway vs France

54%

implied YES probability

Last 17 days · High 58% · Low 53% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.