kalshi
Sports
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
Lionel Messi: 1+
52%
implied YES probability
-4.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 1 days ·
High 55% ·
Low 55%
Not enough price history yet.
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Lionel Messi scoring one or more goals in the Argentina vs Switzerland match is currently priced at 0.54, indicating a 54% probability of this outcome occurring. This price reflects known facts about Messi's historical performance as a prolific goal-scorer and his role as a key player on the Argentine national team. The current market price does not take into account any specific factors that may influence the game's outcome, such as injuries or team strategies. A change in the probability of Messi scoring one or more goals would likely be driven by new information about his playing condition, Switzerland's defensive approach, and other relevant factors that could impact the match's score.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51.0¢ | 2898 | 52.0¢ | 9535 | |
| 50.0¢ | 17 | 53.0¢ | 597400 | |
| 49.0¢ | 16 | 54.0¢ | 208414 | |
| 48.0¢ | 2 | 55.0¢ | 381430 | |
| 47.0¢ | 8696 | 56.0¢ | 166200 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 51.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.