What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 07, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Lionel Messi

Closes Aug 07, 2026 (51d) 24h volume 125.9K Open interest 322.9K Event Golden Boot Winner

26%

implied YES probability

+20.0pp 24h

Last 29 days · High 10% · Low 3% · 7d +20.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 25.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.