What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 88%, implying a 88% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 06, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Iraq

Closes Jul 06, 2026 (19d) 24h volume 20.4K Open interest 25.7K Event Group I Team to Finish Bottom

88%

implied YES probability

+9.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 85% · Low 81%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.