What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

1: Belgium / 2: IR Iran / 3: Egypt / 4: New Zealand

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (25d) 24h volume 2.6K Open interest 4.9K Event Group G: Exact Order

8%

implied YES probability

-19.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 24% · Low 15%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.