What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Iraq

Closes Jul 11, 2026 (24d) 24h volume 5.0K Open interest 36.8K Event Group I Qualifiers

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 12 days · High 14% · Low 12% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.