What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

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Closes Jul 11, 2026 (24d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 83.2K Event Group B Winner

implied YES probability

Last 17 days · High 4% · Low 1% · 7d +33.3pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 1.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.