What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Will a team from Group C win the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup?

Group C

Closes Aug 03, 2026 (24d) 24h volume 4.7K Open interest 91.8K Event Group to Win the FIFA World Cup

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 26 days · High 13% · Low 2% · 7d -66.7pp

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently indicating a 2% probability that a team from Group C will win the 2026 Men's FIFA World Cup. This assessment is based on current information and trends in the sport. The price of a yes outcome is currently set at 0.03, reflecting the relatively low likelihood of this scenario occurring. Factors such as team performance, player injuries, and coaching strategies would need to shift significantly for the market price to increase, indicating a higher probability of a Group C team winning. Conversely, any developments that further diminish the chances of a Group C team emerging victorious could cause the price to decrease.

Generated Jul 07, 2026

Top of book

Bid	Size	Ask	Size
2.0¢	355583	4.0¢	142435
1.0¢	250	5.0¢	3937
		6.0¢	200
		7.0¢	2328
		8.0¢	2000

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 3.0¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.