What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 68%, implying a 68% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

France vs Spain

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 10.1K Open interest 37.3K Event World Cup Semifinal Matchup

68%

implied YES probability

+17.8pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 60% · Low 35%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.