What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Norway vs Argentina

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 12.0K Open interest 38.9K Event World Cup Semifinal Matchup

28%

implied YES probability

Last 4 days · High 27% · Low 24%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.