What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 66%, implying a 66% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

Penalty Kick

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (24d) 24h volume 364 Open interest 380 Event What will the announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final

66%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 75% · Low 69%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.