What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 78%, implying a 78% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Mentions

VAR

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (23d) 24h volume 441 Open interest 630 Event What will the announcers say during the FIFA World Cup Final

78%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 88% · Low 79%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.