Will Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappé have more goals in the FIFA World Cup?

The prediction market for the FIFA World Cup is currently pricing in a 55% chance that Lionel Messi will have more goals than Kylian Mbappé during the tournament. This assessment is informed by known facts about both players' past performances and current form. Specifically, Messi has consistently been one of the top scorers in major international tournaments, while Mbappé has shown rapid improvement in recent years but still lags behind Messi's overall goal-scoring record. The market price would likely increase if there were any significant changes to either player's situation, such as an injury or a dramatic shift in their team's performance. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price could be seen if other factors, like Mbappé's recent form or Messi's age-related decline, were taken into account by market participants.