What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 86%, implying a 86% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Lionel Messi

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 11.1K Open interest 27.0K Event Messi vs Ronaldo: Goal Contributions

86%

implied YES probability

+18.0pp 24h

Last 13 days · High 83% · Low 50% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.