What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 8%, implying a 8% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

France to win in Penalty Shootout

Closes Jul 23, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 127.0K Open interest 143.7K Event France vs Morocco: Method of Victory

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 10% · Low 9%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 7.5¢

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.