What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $2000

Closes Jul 13, 2026 (4d) 24h volume 220 Open interest 868 Event Get-in price of World Cup Semi-Final - AT&T Stadium

36%

implied YES probability

-27.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 97% · Low 51% · 7d -37.5pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.