What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $4250

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 9 Open interest 14 Event Get-in price of the World Cup Semi-Final - Mercedes-Benz Stadium

64%

implied YES probability

+48.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 51% · Low 3%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.