kalshi
Sports
Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?
England
38%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 45 days ·
High 39% ·
Low 15%
· 7d +89.5pp
· 30d +56.5pp
Other outcomes in this event
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AI analysis
The prediction market for England's qualification to the FIFA World Cup Final is currently pricing in a 36% probability of them reaching the final stage. This assessment is informed by their recent performances and group stage results, which have been mixed but generally encouraging. The current price reflects a moderate level of uncertainty surrounding England's chances, with some factors weighing in their favor, such as their strong squad and home advantage in certain matches. Conversely, other variables, like the quality of their opponents and potential injuries to key players, are contributing to the relatively low probability assigned to them qualifying for the final. A significant change in the market price would likely require a notable shift in England's form or a major upset in one of their upcoming matches.
Generated Jul 08, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.0¢ | 5041 | 37.0¢ | 4334 | |
| 35.0¢ | 3287 | 38.0¢ | 32462 | |
| 34.0¢ | 2000 | 39.0¢ | 18806 | |
| 33.0¢ | 2100 | 40.0¢ | 5087 | |
| 32.0¢ | 17 | 41.0¢ | 400 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 36.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.