kalshi Sports

Will England qualify for FIFA World Cup Final?

England
Closes Aug 03, 2026 (24d) 24h volume 11.1K Open interest 211.7K Event FIFA World Cup Final Qualifiers
38%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 45 days · High 39% · Low 15% · 7d +89.5pp · 30d +56.5pp
39%15%

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AI analysis

The prediction market for England's qualification to the FIFA World Cup Final is currently pricing in a 36% probability of them reaching the final stage. This assessment is informed by their recent performances and group stage results, which have been mixed but generally encouraging. The current price reflects a moderate level of uncertainty surrounding England's chances, with some factors weighing in their favor, such as their strong squad and home advantage in certain matches. Conversely, other variables, like the quality of their opponents and potential injuries to key players, are contributing to the relatively low probability assigned to them qualifying for the final. A significant change in the market price would likely require a notable shift in England's form or a major upset in one of their upcoming matches.
Generated Jul 08, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
36.0¢ 5041 37.0¢ 4334
35.0¢ 3287 38.0¢ 32462
34.0¢ 2000 39.0¢ 18806
33.0¢ 2100 40.0¢ 5087
32.0¢ 17 41.0¢ 400
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 36.5¢

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.