What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 57%, implying a 57% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Spain

Closes Aug 03, 2026 (47d) 24h volume 4.0K Open interest 57.3K Event World Soccer Cup Quarterfinals Qualifiers

57%

implied YES probability

-3.0pp 24h

Last 19 days · High 62% · Low 57% · 7d -1.7pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.