What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 64%, implying a 64% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

USA

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 5.8K Open interest 214.0K Event World Soccer Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers

64%

implied YES probability

Last 34 days · High 70% · Low 43% · 7d +33.3pp · 30d +18.5pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 66.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.