kalshi
Sports
Will Spain qualify for FIFA World Cup Semifinals?
Spain
74%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 61 days ·
High 75% ·
Low 35%
· 7d +62.2pp
· 30d +58.7pp
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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AI analysis
The prediction market for Spain's qualification in the FIFA World Cup Semifinals is currently pricing a 74% probability of success, with a YES price of 0.73. This assessment is informed by Spain's recent performance and their standing in the tournament thus far. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are considering factors such as Spain's team dynamics, player injuries, and potential matchups in the semifinals. Any significant changes to these variables could impact the price, with an increase in YES prices potentially indicating improved team morale or a favorable draw, while a decrease could be driven by concerns over player availability or tough opponents. The market will close on August 3rd at 2:00 PM UTC, providing a final opportunity for participants to adjust their positions before the outcome is determined.
Generated Jul 07, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74.0¢ | 50 | 75.0¢ | 23209 | |
| 73.0¢ | 20249 | 77.0¢ | 2350 | |
| 72.0¢ | 2000 | 78.0¢ | 3106 | |
| 71.0¢ | 2005 | 79.0¢ | 3955 | |
| 70.0¢ | 515 | 80.0¢ | 503 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 74.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.