What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

USA

Closes Aug 03, 2026 (47d) 24h volume 38.4K Open interest 142.6K Event World Soccer Cup Semifinals Qualifiers

16%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 33 days · High 18% · Low 6% · 7d +80.0pp · 30d +63.6pp

Spread 2.0¢ · Mid 16.0¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.