kalshi
Sports
Will the final score be France wins 1-0?
Reg Time: France wins 1-0
28%
implied YES probability
+14.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 2 days ·
High 14% ·
Low 13%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing France winning 1-0 against Morocco at a 14% probability, as reflected in the current YES price of 0.14. This assessment is informed by known facts such as France's strong performance throughout the tournament and Morocco's relatively weaker showing. The current price does not take into account any potential changes that may occur before the event closes on July 23rd at 20:00 UTC, including any last-minute injuries or lineup adjustments. A change in the probability of a French victory would likely drive the YES price up if more favorable circumstances emerge, such as France's star player returning from injury, and down if unfavorable factors come to light, like key players being ruled out due to illness.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.0¢ | 14502 | 28.0¢ | 2012 | |
| 26.0¢ | 29315 | 29.0¢ | 35116 | |
| 25.0¢ | 12965 | 30.0¢ | 13979 | |
| 24.0¢ | 7551 | 31.0¢ | 10520 | |
| 23.0¢ | 35204 | 32.0¢ | 26039 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 27.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.