What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 36%, implying a 36% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

USA wins by over 1.5 goals

Closes Jul 03, 2026 (16d) 24h volume 9.1K Open interest 42.6K Event USA vs Australia: Spread

36%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 39% · Low 27%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.