What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 04, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Germany wins by over 1.5 goals

Closes Jul 04, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 1.9K Open interest 6.3K Event Germany vs Ivory Coast: Spread

40%

implied YES probability

Last 4 days · High 40% · Low 38%

Open on Kalshi

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.