What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Semifinals

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 2.6K Open interest 10.8K Event Furthest Stage Advanced to by Any South American Nation

32%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 35% · Low 25%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.