What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 24%, implying a 24% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Group Stage

Closes Jul 27, 2026 (39d) 24h volume 4.8K Open interest 7.5K Event Ecuador: Stage of Elimination

24%

implied YES probability

+3.0pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 26% · Low 16%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.