What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 41%, implying a 41% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Semifinals

Closes Jul 27, 2026 (17d) 24h volume 7.8K Open interest 70.5K Event Spain: Stage of Elimination

41%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 23 days · High 44% · Low 14% · 7d +69.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.