What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 18%, implying a 18% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Round of 16

Closes Jul 27, 2026 (39d) 24h volume 4.9K Open interest 18.7K Event Japan: Stage of Elimination

18%

implied YES probability

Last 8 days · High 23% · Low 17% · 7d -17.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.