What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Sep 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above 4.5%

Closes Sep 19, 2026 (71d) 24h volume 57 Open interest 544 Event Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in Q2

38%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 41% · Low 32% · 7d 0.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.