Will over 10,000 people enter 2026 WSOP main event?

The prediction market is currently pricing in a near-certainty that fewer than 10,000 people will enter the 2026 World Series of Poker (WSOP) main event. The current yes price of $0.01 implies a probability of zero percent, indicating that the market expects this outcome to be highly likely. This assessment is informed by known facts about the WSOP's historical attendance figures and the typical growth rate of the tournament. Any changes in these underlying factors or new information that suggests a significant increase in interest or participation would need to occur for the price to move upward. Conversely, if there are no notable developments or trends that would drive increased entries, the current low probability is likely to remain unchanged until the market closes on July 25th, 2026.