kalshi
Sports
Will Karolina Muchova win the Wimbledon Women's Singles?
Karolina Muchova
50%
implied YES probability
+20.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 16 days ·
High 33% ·
Low 1%
· 7d +383.3pp
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market for Karolina Muchova to win the Wimbledon Women's Singles is currently pricing her at a 32% probability, with a YES price of 0.33. This assessment is informed by known facts about Muchova's recent performance and experience on grass courts, as well as her ranking in the world tennis rankings. The market is asking whether Muchova has the skills and mental toughness to overcome her opponents and claim the title. A change in Muchova's form or an unexpected upset from a lower-ranked player could cause the price to decrease, while a strong showing from Muchova in the early rounds of Wimbledon might increase the likelihood of her winning and drive up the YES price. The market will close on July 25th at 2:00 PM UTC, after which the price will be fixed based on the final outcome.
Generated Jul 08, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.0¢ | 4928 | 51.0¢ | 19662 | |
| 49.0¢ | 2700 | 52.0¢ | 11460 | |
| 48.0¢ | 473 | 53.0¢ | 200 | |
| 47.0¢ | 2000 | 54.0¢ | 5383 | |
| 41.0¢ | 90 | 55.0¢ | 3835 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 50.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.