What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$101 or above

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 124 Open interest 1.6K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

22%

implied YES probability

-5.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 56% · Low 14% · 7d +4.3pp · 30d -11.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.