What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$115 or above

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume — Open interest 3.9K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

14%

implied YES probability

Last 34 days · High 30% · Low 5% · 7d -14.3pp · 30d -29.4pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.