What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 29%, implying a 29% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$92 or above

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume — Open interest 3.7K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

29%

implied YES probability

Last 29 days · High 54% · Low 3% · 7d -39.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.