What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$94 or above

Closes Nov 03, 2026 (139d) 24h volume 382 Open interest 5.6K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Election Day (November 3, 2026)?

28%

implied YES probability

-2.0pp 24h

Last 31 days · High 48% · Low 25% · 7d -20.0pp · 30d -39.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.