What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

64.99 or below

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (197d) 24h volume 1.7K Open interest 7.0K Event How low will oil (WTI) get by end of year?

42%

implied YES probability

+17.0pp 24h

Last 55 days · High 74% · Low 3% · 7d +5.3pp · 30d -42.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.