What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 53%, implying a 53% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Chuck Gray

Closes Aug 18, 2027 (427d) 24h volume 49 Open interest 992 Event WY-AL Republican nominee?

53%

implied YES probability

-11.0pp 24h

Last 9 days · High 64% · Low 38% · 7d +18.6pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.